Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 8

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Alfredo de Castilho (Bauru)


	EC Noroeste		Araçatuba

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.56	3.35	5.91
	1.68	3.52	4.79	Watch
	1.57	3.38	6.04
	1.69	3.42	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	5.38 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
56.2%

Draw
26.8%

Araçatuba
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

21.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Araçatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC Noroeste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araçatuba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EC Noroeste - Araçatuba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Caua A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Araçatuba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Noroeste is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.07.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Atlético Monte Azul - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	EC Noroeste - Linense	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Araçatuba - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	EC Noroeste - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLT
- AEA Araçatuba
Brazilian Copa Paulista
23.07.25	Araçatuba - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Linense - Araçatuba	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Grêmio Prudente - Araçatuba	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Araçatuba - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Araçatuba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.06.25	Araçatuba - EC Noroeste	2:0

EC Noroeste - Araçatuba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide