Match Info
Gaucho 2 - Round 11Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday
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 |
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EC Pelotas |
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EC Guarani |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.53 |
3.50 |
5.75 |
|
 |
1.52 |
3.45 |
5.70 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.45 |
5.62 |
|
 |
1.54 |
3.62 |
5.93 |
 Watch |
 |
1.53 |
3.40 |
5.55 |
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 |
1.50 |
3.93 |
6.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.48) |
3.56 ↓
(3.9) |
5.79 ↓
(6.36) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
EC Pelotas
59.1% | Draw
25.4% | EC Guarani
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)EC Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Guarani than the current prediction. (-1.7%)EC Pelotas - EC Guarani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).Recent performances by Pelotas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).EC Guarani is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Pelotas is the obvious favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pelotas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2 | | | 04.06.23 | EC Guarani - EC Pelotas | 0:1 | | 28.05.23 | EC Pelotas - EC Guarani | 4:0 | | 29.05.22 | EC Pelotas - EC Guarani | 1:0 | | 28.04.22 | EC Guarani - EC Pelotas | 2:1 |
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