Match Info

IVORY COAST: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 24 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	ES Bafing		AFAD Djékanou

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	4	2.7	2.05
	3.85	2.7	2.08
	3.84	2.66	2.1
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.78	2.86	2.06
	3.85	2.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (5.4)	2.81 ↓ (3.4)	2.08 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ES Bafing
24.4%

Draw
32.2%

AFAD Djékanou
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.6%

26.4%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

25.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ES Bafing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ES Bafing's performance.

AFAD Djékanou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFAD Djékanou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ES Bafing than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ES Bafing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFAD Djékanou than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFAD Djékanou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

ES Bafing - AFAD Djékanou Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bafing will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). AFAD will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AFAD: 35.2% – 92%.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Bafing has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

AFAD Djékanou is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AFAD Djékanou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match AFAD Djékanou is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's AFAD Djékanou to win the game is with odds 1.94.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bafing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bafing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Bafing
Cote d`Ivoire Ligue 1
19.12.22	Bassam - ES Bafing	3:1 ✺
16.12.22	ES Bafing - SO de l`Armée	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	ES Bafing - SOL	0:1 ✺
02.12.22	San-Pédro - ES Bafing	4:0 ✺
28.11.22	ES Bafing - Korhogo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AFAD Djékanou
Cote d`Ivoire Ligue 1
09.12.22	AFAD Djékanou - Bouaké	1:0 ✺
05.12.22	ASI dAbengourou - AFAD Djékanou	1:1 ✺
01.12.22	Sporting Club de Gagnoa - AFAD Djékanou	1:1 ✺
25.11.22	AFAD Djékanou - AS Denguélé	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Stade dAbidjan - AFAD Djékanou	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Cote d`Ivoire Ligue 1
26.06.22	AFAD Djékanou - ES Bafing	1:1
01.03.22	ES Bafing - AFAD Djékanou	1:0
28.04.21	ES Bafing - AFAD Djékanou	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFAD Djékanou
Cote d`Ivoire Ligue 1
29.10.26	Stella Club dAdjamé - AFAD Djékanou	✺

ES Bafing - AFAD Djékanou