Match Info

TUNISIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	ES Djerba		El Makarem de Mahdia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.72	3	5.26
	2	3	3.5
	1.76	3.43	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.05)	3.13 ↑ (2.93)	4.58 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ES Djerba
50.9%

Draw
29.2%

El Makarem de Mahdia
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

31.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ES Djerba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ES Djerba's performance.

El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ES Djerba than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ES Djerba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Makarem de Mahdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches ES Djerba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

EM Mahdia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

EM Mahdia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

ES Djerba will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ES Djerba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Djerba
Tunisian Ligue 2
06.02.24	Chebba - ES Djerba	1:1 ✺
28.12.23	Djelma - ES Djerba	1:1 ✺
21.12.23	ES Djerba - Stade Gabèsien	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Océano Club de Kerkennah - ES Djerba	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	ES Djerba - Moknine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLL
- El Makarem de Mahdia
Tunisian Cup
27.01.24	El Makarem de Mahdia - Gabès	1:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
03.01.24	Rejiche - El Makarem de Mahdia	0:2 ✺
28.12.23	El Makarem de Mahdia - Gabès	1:1 ✺
20.12.23	Zarzis - El Makarem de Mahdia	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	El Makarem de Mahdia - Espoir Rogba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
15.10.23	El Makarem de Mahdia - ES Djerba	0:1

ES Djerba - El Makarem de Mahdia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide