Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 16

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade 8 Mai 1945 (Sétif)


	ES Sétif		Khenchela

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.1	5.75
	2	2.88	4.15
	2	2.9	4.63
	1.97	2.85	4.73	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.98	2.97	4.41
	1.96	2.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.87)	2.91 ↓ (3.13)	4.62 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ES Sétif
48.4%

Draw
31.7%

Khenchela
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

29.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

31.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Khenchela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khenchela than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

ES Sétif - Khenchela Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ES Sétif will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Khenchela will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Khenchela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Saidi Z. (G) 4. Boubekeur I. 26. Boudechicha A. 6. Daibeche O. 12. Derder A. 10. Djahnit A. (C) 27. Hamidi K. 3. Naim A. 29. Salifu M. 11. Toual K. 20. Zerrouki M.	16. Litim O. (G) 11. Bakir M. 25. Bendaoud A. 27. Djaouchi H. 13. Dris A. 22. Guemroud M. 12. Meddour Z. 10. Oukil A. 8. Sameur A. (C) 5. Souyad B. 6. Zenasni A.
Substitutes
9. Benlebna M. 17. Boukerma M. 54. Bouneqab A. A. . Chetouh 5. Douar Y. . Kharfelah . Lafgoune . Mesahel 47. Zakaria S. N.	7. Chekal Affari H. 17. Kabouche A. . Karujatun 23. Matouti E. . Zaytun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Djahnit A. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Hamidi K. ⚽,
27', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
41', 3 - 0, Zerrouki M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 1, Bakir M. ⚽,
58', Litim O. 🟥,
62', 4 - 1, ⚽,
63', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ES Sétif won 2.

ES Sétif is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Khenchela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Khenchela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ES Sétif is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ES Sétif won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, ES Sétif won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	ES Setif	3	1	0	2	5:3	2	3
13	Khenchela	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Sétif
Algerian Cup
16.01.26	Constantine - ES Sétif	2:1 ET ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
08.01.26	ES Sétif - Paradou	2:2 ✺
29.12.25	MC Alger - ES Sétif	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Belouizdad - ES Sétif	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	ES Sétif - Kabylie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLW
- USM Khenchela
Algerian Ligue 1
09.01.26	Rouissat - Khenchela	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Khenchela - Constantine	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	El Bayadh - Khenchela	1:2 ✺
Algerian Cup
13.12.25	MC Alger - Khenchela	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Khenchela - Rouissat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
23.08.25	Khenchela - ES Sétif	1:1
25.05.25	ES Sétif - Khenchela	0:1
07.12.24	Khenchela - ES Sétif	2:3
09.02.24	ES Sétif - Khenchela	2:1
15.09.23	Khenchela - ES Sétif	1:0
17.05.23	Khenchela - ES Sétif	1:0
13.10.22	ES Sétif - Khenchela	1:2

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