Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 15

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Salt Lake Stadium (Kolkata)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Disney+ Hotstar, Sports18 2, Sports18 3, Sports18
World	JioTV app, Onefootball


	East Bengal		Mumbai City

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.15	3.45	2.11
	3.33	3.38	2.13	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.1
	3.24	3.54	2.09	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.69)	3.4 ↓ (3.56)	2.11 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Bengal
29.2%

Draw
27.1%

Mumbai City
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Bengal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mumbai City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mumbai City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Bengal than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mumbai City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mumbai City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

East Bengal - Mumbai City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. East Bengal will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Mumbai City will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mumbai City: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Singh Gill P. (G) 3. Lakra P. 44. Yuste H. 19. Maher H. 5. Lalchungnunga 11. Sekar N. 4. Ali A. 6. Jeakson Singh 82. Puthiya Valappill V. 10. Cleiton Silva 9. Diamantakos D.	23. Rehenesh T. (G) 3. Valpuia 5. Singh M. 4. Tiri 36. Panwar S. 7. Chhangte L. (C) 8. van Nieff Y. 10. Fernandes B. 29. Singh B. 9. Karelis N. 6. Partap V.
Substitutes
62. Aman C. 84. Banerjee S. 23. Chakrabarti S. 30. Guite V. 22. Kumar N. 14. Lalhlansanga D. 24. Majumder D. (G) 33. Singh Gill G. 29. Singh N.	33. Das P. 13. Krouma T. 1. Lachenpa P. (G) 19. Lalhlimpuia D. 16. Nazareth F. 77. Nikum G. 20. Rane J. 27. Rodrigues N. 18. Sharma H.
Coaches
Bruzon O.	Kratky P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', Panwar S. 🟨,
38', Jeakson Singh 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Chhangte L. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
42', Fernandes B. ↓, Rane J. ↑,
43', 0 - 2, Karelis N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lakra P. ↓, Kumar N. ↑,
46', Sekar N. ↓, Singh N. ↑,
49', Puthiya Valappill V. 🟨,
65', Lalchungnunga 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Panwar S. (Own goal),
70', Jeakson Singh ↓, Lalhlansanga D. ↑,
73', Partap V. 🟨,
79', Singh Gill P. 🟨,
81', Panwar S. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
81', Partap V. ↓, Krouma T. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Lalhlansanga D. ⚽, Yuste H. (A),
87', 2 - 3, Karelis N. ⚽, Rodrigues N. (A),
90+2', Singh B. ↓, Das P. ↑,
90+2', Ali A. ↓, Chakrabarti S. ↑,
90+3', Karelis N. ↓, Lalhlimpuia D. ↑,
90+4', Ali A. 🟨,
90+6', Chakrabarti S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches East Bengal won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

East Bengal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mumbai City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches East Bengal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams East Bengal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Bengal Club
Indian ISL
28.12.24	Hyderabad - East Bengal	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	East Bengal - Jamshedpur	1:0 ✺
17.12.24	East Bengal - Punjab	4:2 ✺
12.12.24	East Bengal - Odisha	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Chennaiyin - East Bengal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWLW
- Mumbai City
Indian ISL
30.12.24	Mumbai City - NorthEast United	0:3 ✺
21.12.24	Mumbai City - Chennaiyin	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Mumbai City	0:1 ✺
05.12.24	Odisha - Mumbai City	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Mumbai City - Hyderabad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
13.02.24	East Bengal - Mumbai City	0:1
16.12.23	Mumbai City - East Bengal	0:0
19.02.23	Mumbai City - East Bengal	0:1
16.12.22	East Bengal - Mumbai City	0:3
22.02.22	Mumbai City - East Bengal	1:0
07.01.22	East Bengal - Mumbai City	0:0
22.01.21	East Bengal - Mumbai City	0:1

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