Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: National Stadium (Freetown)


	East End Lions		Luawa

	1	X	2
	2.51	2.76	3	Watch
	2.52	2.72	2.88
	2.4	2.66	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.51)	2.71 ↓ (2.76)	3.01 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East End Lions
36.5%

Draw
33.4%

Luawa
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

33.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

32.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East End Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Luawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East End Lions than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luawa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

East End Lions - Luawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

East End Lions has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Luawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, East End Lions won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, East End Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	East End Lions	33	12	14	7	50:36	14	50
17	Luawa ✔	33	8	9	16	22:41	-19	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East End Lions FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
03.01.26	Ports Authority - East End Lions	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	East End Lions - Wilberforce Strikers	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Star Sport Academy - East End Lions	0:0 ✺
15.12.25	East End Lions - Old Edwardians	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bai Bureh Warriors - East End Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTWL
- Luawa FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
02.01.26	Luawa - Bullom Stars	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Kamboi Eagles - Luawa	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Luawa - Mighty Blackpool	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Abacha City - Luawa	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Luawa - Diamond Stars	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
22.06.25	East End Lions - Luawa	3:2
01.03.25	Luawa - East End Lions	0:3
18.02.24	East End Lions - Luawa	2:0

East End Lions - Luawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide