Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Eastern AA		North District

	1	X	2
	3.26	3.7	2
	3.13	3.87	1.96	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.55	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.32)	3.68 ↑ (3.63)	2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern AA
29.3%

Draw
24.9%

North District
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.4%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

25.4%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern AA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

North District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North District than the current prediction. (+1%)

Eastern AA - North District Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 21. Almazan D. 10. Bleda M. 27. Gondra M. K. 2. Hall C. 32. Lam H. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 16. Leung C. (C) 5. Lorenz M. 9. Okubo Y. 30. Wong Tsz-Ho	63. Li H. D. (G) 94. Abadia D. 22. Arboleda Y. 77. Kauan V. 29. Khan J. 10. Law Hiu-Chung (C) 4. Mitrovic A. 70. Samuel Granada 2. Singh B. K. 11. Weverton Gudula 15. Wong H.
Substitutes
37. Chang Kwong-Yin 88. Cheung M. H. 11. Felipe Sa 33. Gao M. H. 44. Gurung P. 25. Ko C. W. (G) 26. Liu F. (G) 65. Wong Fred Yang 42. Yeung T. 19. Yiu Ho-Ming	18. Dai T. M. 14. Ho C. J. 12. Li C. 9. Lo Kong-Wai 30. Navarro F. 99. Ng C. (G) 25. Pun Tsz-Hei 23. Siu C. N. 6. Tsang C. 3. Wong Chun-Ho 73. Wong W. 7. Yuen Sai-Kit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Abadia D. 🟨,
28', Weverton Gudula 🟨,
30', Wong Tsz-Ho ↓, Wong Fred Yang ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Almazan D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Arboleda Y. ⚽,
45+7', Wong Fred Yang 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Kauan V. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
60', Lam H. 🟨,
68', Lau Kwan Ching 🟨,
71', Bleda M. ↓, Yiu Ho-Ming ↑,
71', Lorenz M. ↓, Felipe Sa ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Felipe Sa ⚽,
74', Abadia D. ↓, Yuen Sai-Kit ↑,
81', Arboleda Y. 🟨,
85', Law Hiu-Chung ↓, Ho C. J. ↑,
85', Singh B. K. ↓, Wong Chun-Ho ↑,
85', Lam H. ↓, Chang Kwong-Yin ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Yiu Ho-Ming ⚽,
90', Gianni Cassaro 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 4.

Eastern AA is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

North District has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eastern AA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

North District is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastern AA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	North District	4	3	1	0	12:0	12	10
7	Eastern AA	4	1	0	3	6:8	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern AA
Hong Kong Premier League
26.04.26	Lee Man - Eastern AA	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Eastern AA - Hong Kong FC	5:0 ✺
04.04.26	Eastern AA - Hong Kong Rangers	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Kitchee - Eastern AA	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Eastern AA - Eastern District	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTLW
- North District FC
Hong Kong Premier League
25.04.26	North District - Kitchee	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Wofoo Tai Po - North District	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	North District - Lee Man	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Southern District - North District	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	North District - Hong Kong Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
14.02.26	North District - Eastern AA	0:3
28.01.26	Eastern AA - North District	1:4
11.05.25	North District - Eastern AA	0:1
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
15.12.24	North District - Eastern AA	1:3
Hong Kong Premier League
10.11.24	Eastern AA - North District	2:1
12.09.24	Eastern AA - North District	5:1
26.05.24	North District - Eastern AA	1:2

Eastern AA - North District: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide