Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 17

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Heath Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Eastern Suburbs		Peninsula Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.90	1.93
	3.1	3.95	1.85
	3.22	4.35	1.92
	3.11	4.51	1.9	Watch
	3	4.3	1.89
	3.4	4.08	1.89	Watch
	3.15	4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.8)	4.16 ↑ (3.6)	1.89 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Suburbs
29.2%

Draw
22.2%

Peninsula Power
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

24.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Peninsula Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peninsula Power's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power Predictions

Users Predictions: Peninsula Power will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern Suburbs won 0.

Eastern Suburbs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peninsula is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Eastern Suburbs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Peninsula might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Eastern Suburbs won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:43. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastern Suburbs won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Suburbs
Australian NPL Queensland
27.06.26	Eastern Suburbs - Olympic FC	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Eastern Suburbs - Brisbane City	3:1 ✺
16.06.26	Wynnum Wolves - Eastern Suburbs	1:2 ✺
05.06.26	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton City Excelsior	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWT
- Peninsula Power
Australian NPL Queensland
27.06.26	Peninsula Power - Brisbane Roar U23	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Olympic FC - Peninsula Power	1:3 ✺
06.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Peninsula Power	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Gold Coast United - Peninsula Power	0:4 ✺
23.05.26	Peninsula Power - Magic United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
21.02.26	Peninsula Power - Eastern Suburbs	1:0
21.06.25	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	1:2
22.03.25	Peninsula Power - Eastern Suburbs	1:1
13.08.23	Peninsula Power - Eastern Suburbs	6:0
06.05.23	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	0:1
20.07.22	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	2:1
02.04.22	Peninsula Power - Eastern Suburbs	5:0

Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide