The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ebro 76.4%
Draw 16.8%
Calamocha 6.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61%
24.1%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
23.2%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebro's performance.
Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calamocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calamocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ebro - Calamocha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 15th in the Relegation).
Ebro is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Calamocha is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Ebro enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ebro has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ebro against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.7 per game).
Watch
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