Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	16:45	Footballclub


	Ebro		Calamocha

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.40	7.75
	1.23	4.90	11.00
	1.32	4.50	10.46
	1.33	4.33	9.7	Watch
	1.30	4.45	10.00
	1.30	4.33	9.65
	1.32	4.40	8.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.47)	4.47 ↑ (3.72)	9.57 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
70%

Draw
20.4%

Calamocha
9.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

24.1%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.2%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebro's performance.

Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calamocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Ebro - Calamocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Boudaoud I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Emana S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 15th in the Relegation).

Ebro is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Calamocha has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Ebro as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ebro has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ebro against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ebro	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
16	Calamocha	8	1	2	5	5:17	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.10.26	Arnedo - Ebro	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Ebro - Terrassa	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Osasuna B - Ebro	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ebro - Reus FC Reddis	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Olot - Ebro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWT
- CF Calamocha
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.10.26	Osasuna B - Calamocha	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Calamocha - Tudelano	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Calamocha - UD Logroñés Promesas	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Espanyol B - Calamocha	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Calamocha - Terrassa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.01.25	Ebro - Calamocha	2:1
08.09.24	Calamocha - Ebro	0:0
27.01.24	Calamocha - Ebro	1:0
09.09.23	Ebro - Calamocha	2:1
Club Friendly
13.08.19	Ebro - Calamocha	3:0

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