Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American Championship U20 - Round 5

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare (Barquisimeto) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	18:00	DirecTV Sports
Bolivia	17:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	18:00	CONMEBOL TV
Chile	18:00	DirecTV Sports
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	18:00	Tigo Sports
Peru	16:00	DirecTV Sports
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	18:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, DirecTV Sports, Eventos Montecable, Flow, MCGo Live, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Venezuela	17:00	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	21:00	DirecTV Sports


	Ecuador U20		Argentina U20

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.15	1.9
	4.48	3.17	1.93
	4.32	3.32	1.88	Watch
	3.9	3	1.91
	4.23	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.15	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.87)	3.18 ↓ (3.94)	1.9 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ecuador U20
22.4%

Draw
29%

Argentina U20
48.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.9%

23.4%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ecuador U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Argentina U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentina U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Ecuador U20 - Argentina U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ecuador U20 will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Argentina U20 will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ecuador U20: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Reyes J. (G) FC Cartagena SAD 18. Garcia D. 14. Caicedo M. LDU Quito 3. Ordonez D. 13. Caicedo F. 15. Rodriguez J. LDU Quito 8. Jeremy Arevalo Racing Santander 7. Arroyo K. Independiente del Valle 16. Lerma Soliz J. A. Independiente del Valle 17. Caicedo B. (C) Orense 11. Obando A. Barcelona SC	23. Martinet J. (G) River Plate 16. Obregon A. River Plate 13. Pierani V. Estudiantes L.P. 6. Villalba J. Gimnasia L.P. 3. Soler J. (C) Bournemouth 14. Ramirez T. Argentinos Jrs 5. Gerez M. Lanus 11. Mastantuono F. River Plate 7. Carrizo M. Velez Sarsfield 19. Andino S. Godoy Cruz 22. Hidalgo S. Independiente
Substitutes
9. Bermudez M. OFK Beograd 5. Borja R. Emelec 19. Caicedo E. Mushuc Runa 1. Loor C. (G) Independiente del Valle 23. Moreno L. 20. Munoz E. Emelec 10. Paez K. Independiente del Valle 22. Peralta M. (G) 21. Preciado G. Independiente Juniors 6. Ruiz E. Independiente del Valle	17. Acuna V. Newells Old Boys 1. Barbi S. (G) Talleres Cordoba 12. Chavez A. (G) 8. Delgado M. Boca Juniors 10. Echeverri C. Manchester City 2. Gimenez J. Rosario Central 4. Gorosito D. Boca Juniors 15. Perruzzi I. 18. Rodriguez Pagano T. 9. Ruberto A. River Plate 21. Subiabre I. River Plate 20. Woiski A. Mallorca
Coaches
Bravo M.	Placente D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
24', Caicedo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soler J. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
46', Ramirez T. ↓, Perruzzi I. ↑,
56', Caicedo B. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
68', Carrizo M. ↓, Ruberto A. ↑,
68', Mastantuono F. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
69', Jeremy Arevalo ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
69', Rodriguez J. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
78', Obando A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
78', Lerma Soliz J. A. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
78', Obregon A. ↓, Gorosito D. ↑,
82', Ruberto A. (Pen),
87', Ruberto A. 🟨,
90+4', Hidalgo S. 🟨,
90+4', Caicedo M. 🟨,

Preview

Argentina U20 is Qualified for South American Championship U20 (Final Group )

Argentina U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Argentina U20 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ecuador U20 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ecuador U20
South American Championship U20
30.01.25	Ecuador U20 - Brazil U20	2:3 ✺
28.01.25	Colombia U20 - Ecuador U20	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Bolivia U20 - Ecuador U20	1:2 ✺
Friendly
20.12.24	Peru U20 - Ecuador U20	2:2 ✺
21.06.24	Ecuador U20 - Canada U20	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWT?
- Argentina U20
South American Championship U20
28.01.25	Argentina U20 - Bolivia U20	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Argentina U20 - Colombia U20	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Brazil U20 - Argentina U20	0:6 ✺
Friendly
17.01.25	Chile U20 - Argentina U20	1:3 ✺
16.11.24	Bolivia U20 - Argentina U20	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South American Games U19
08.10.22	Ecuador U20 - Argentina U20	0:3
South American Championship U20
29.01.19	Ecuador U20 - Argentina U20	2:1
22.01.19	Argentina U20 - Ecuador U20	0:1
05.02.17	Ecuador U20 - Argentina U20	3:0
14.01.15	Argentina U20 - Ecuador U20	5:2

Ecuador U20 - Argentina U20