Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: SOUTH AMERICAN CHAMPIONSHIP U20 - FINAL GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 9 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Ecuador U20		Venezuela U20

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.65	3.8	4.75
	1.7	3.78	4.9
	1.62	3.3	4.8
	1.67	3.78	5.1	Watch
	1.72	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.19)	3.64 ↑ (2.85)	4.81 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ecuador U20
55.4%

Draw
25.4%

Venezuela U20
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

31.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ecuador U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ecuador U20's performance.

Venezuela U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venezuela U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ecuador U20 than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ecuador U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezuela U20 than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezuela U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	4%	4%

Ecuador U20 - Venezuela U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: Ecuador U20 will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Ecuador U20 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Venezuela U20 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ecuador U20 is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ecuador U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ecuador U20
South American Championship U20
06.02.23	Colombia U20 - Ecuador U20	1:0 ✺
03.02.23	Uruguay U20 - Ecuador U20	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Brazil U20 - Ecuador U20	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	Ecuador U20 - Uruguay U20	1:1 ✺
26.01.23	Venezuela U20 - Ecuador U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL
- Venezuela U20
South American Championship U20
06.02.23	Venezuela U20 - Uruguay U20	1:4 ✺
03.02.23	Brazil U20 - Venezuela U20	3:0 ✺
31.01.23	Paraguay U20 - Venezuela U20	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Venezuela U20 - Chile U20	1:0 ✺
26.01.23	Venezuela U20 - Ecuador U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20
26.01.23	Venezuela U20 - Ecuador U20	1:0
10.02.19	Venezuela U20 - Ecuador U20	0:3
02.02.17	Ecuador U20 - Venezuela U20	2:4
12.01.13	Ecuador U20 - Venezuela U20	0:1

Ecuador U20 - Venezuela U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide