Match Info

CONMEBOL Nations League Women - Round 3

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Televen


	Ecuador W		Venezuela W

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.25	1.98
	3.68	3.3	1.98
	3.35	2.94	2.26	Watch
	3.9	3.23	1.99	Watch
	3.66	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.1)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ecuador W
25.6%

Draw
29%

Venezuela W
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ecuador W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Venezuela W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ecuador W - Venezuela W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Suarez L. (G) 19. Real K. Parma 4. Cuadra J. Barcelona SC 3. Rodriguez M. 2. Caicedo J. Independiente del Valle 21. Barahona M. 8. Burgos Cedeno E. E. 14. Pico F. 11. Flores K. (C) Atlas 15. Baquerizo M. Granada CF 9. Bolanos N. UNAM Pumas	13. Caceres N. (G) Costa Adeje Tenerife 2. Herrera V. SE AEM 20. Rodriguez D. Corinthians 5. Gimenez Y. Servette 14. Carrasco R. Levante 7. Rodriguez D. Torreense 8. Garcia G. (C) Atl. Madrid 10. Olivieri B. Tigres UANL 9. Castellanos D. Portland Thorns FC 3. Martinez B. Granadilla Tenerife 17. Herrera A.
Substitutes
7. Arias E. America Mineiro 5. Cedeno S. Atl. Nacional 13. Charcopa N. Santos 10. Espinales J. Palmeiras 18. Flores R. 17. Litardo K. Independiente del Valle 1. Mendoza K. (G) 12. Moran A. (G) Cerro Porteno 6. Pianda I. 20. Rodriguez D. Santos Laguna 16. Rodriguez L. 23. Valencia Y. Independiente del Valle	16. Apostol F. Dep. La Coruna 23. Chirinos M. 15. Diaz G. 12. Florez G. ADIFFEM 11. Higuera E. Atletico San Luis 18. Moreno L. Gremio 4. O'Neill S. 22. Rebanales V. (G) 1. Rengifo M. (G) Newells Old Boys 21. Reyes G. 6. Romero M. Tenerife 19. Speckmaier M. Durham

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Olivieri B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Flores K. ↓, Arias E. ↑,
46', Olivieri B. ↓, Speckmaier M. ↑,
58', Carrasco R. 🟨,
65', Baquerizo M. ↓, Litardo K. ↑,
66', Burgos Cedeno E. E. ↓, Cedeno S. ↑,
75', Herrera A. ↓, Higuera E. ↑,
76', Pico F. ↓, Espinales J. ↑,
76', Bolanos N. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
77', Valencia Y. 🟨,
79', Cuadra J. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez D. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
85', Arias E. 🟨,
87', Garcia G. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Cup Women (Promotion: ))

Venezuela could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ecuador W
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
28.10.25	Ecuador W - Colombia W	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Bolivia W - Ecuador W	0:4 ✺
Copa America Women
24.07.25	Ecuador W - Argentina W	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	Chile W - Ecuador W	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Peru W - Ecuador W	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW
- Venezuela W
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
28.10.25	Paraguay W - Venezuela W	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Venezuela W - Chile W	0:0 ✺
Copa America Women
25.07.25	Paraguay W - Venezuela W	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Venezuela W - Bolivia W	7:1 ✺
16.07.25	Venezuela W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
26.10.21	Ecuador W - Venezuela W	1:4
24.10.21	Ecuador W - Venezuela W	1:4
South American Championship Women
05.04.18	Ecuador W - Venezuela W	0:1
13.09.14	Ecuador W - Venezuela W	1:0

Ecuador W - Venezuela W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide