Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Egüés		Zaragoza B

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.4	1.63
	5.33	3.43	1.66
	5.33	3.43	1.67
	5.08	3.45	1.69
	4.9	3.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (3.84)	3.44 ↑ (3)	1.66 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egüés
18.1%

Draw
26.6%

Zaragoza B
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

30.3%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

29.1%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egüés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egüés's form might have worsened.

Zaragoza B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Egüés - Zaragoza B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', Iriarte H. ⚽,
25', Burusco I. ⚽,
38', Manas A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', Vacas O. ⚽,
75', Conte F. (Pen),
90+3', Diaz Montes M. (Pen),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Egüés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zaragoza B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Egüés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zaragoza B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Egüés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Egüés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	Alavés B - Egüés	6:2 ✺
02.03.24	Utebo - Egüés	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Egüés - Izarra	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Barbastro - Egüés	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Egüés - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Zaragoza B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	Zaragoza B - Izarra	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Barbastro - Zaragoza B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Zaragoza B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	UD Logroñés - Zaragoza B	4:0 ✺
11.02.24	Zaragoza B - Brea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.11.23	Zaragoza B - Egüés	2:0

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