Match Info

NB III - Northeast - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Eger		Tarpa

	1	X	2
	4.08	3.64	1.7
	1.63	3.26	5.96	Watch
	3.8	3.54	1.81
	3.1	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.06)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	2.87 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eger
33.3%

Draw
30.1%

Tarpa
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.2%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tarpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eger than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarpa than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eger - Tarpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Eger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tarpa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tarpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Eger has had a series of home games.

Recently, Tarpa has had a series of away games.

Tarpa might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eger SE
Hungarian NB III Northeast
05.10.25	Debreceni EAC - Eger	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Eger - Debrecen II	0:5 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.25	Eger - Budafoki	0:2 ✺
Hungarian NB III Northeast
07.09.25	Eger - Kisvárda II	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Eger - Nyíregyháza II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW
- Tarpa SC
Hungarian NB III Northeast
28.09.25	Kisvárda II - Tarpa	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tarpa - Nyíregyháza II	5:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
14.09.25	Kelen - Tarpa	3:2 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB III Northeast
07.09.25	Füzesabony - Tarpa	0:1 ✺
27.08.25	Tiszafüredi - Tarpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWL

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