Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Elbasan Arena (Elbasani)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	RTSH Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1


	Egnatia Rrogozhinë		Borac Banja Luka

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.7	2.88	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.7	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.82	3.05	2.84
	2.77	2.95	2.73	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.88	3.01	2.8	Watch
	2.78	2.98	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)	2.98 ↓ (3.44)	2.76 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
34.3%

Draw
31.5%

Borac Banja Luka
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Borac Banja Luka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borac Banja Luka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.2%	32.4%	24.3%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Borac Banja Luka Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Egnatia will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). Borac Banja Luka will win (votes: 9 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Egnatia: 25.6% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sherri A. (G) 3. Dulysse F. 13. Malota R. (C) 19. Xhemajli A. 44. Fangaj A. 28. Ahmetaj A. 6. Aleksi A. 70. Lushkja R. 4. Aliyev Z. 77. Ibrahimoglu M. 14. Doukouo L.	1. Siskovski D. (G) 20. Kvrzic Z. 2. Meijers B. 24. Carolina J. 16. Herrera S. 15. Grahovac S. (C) 23. Vranjes S. 11. Hrelja D. 77. Savic S. 10. Vukovic D. 19. Lukic J.
Substitutes
12. Dabjani I. (G) 2. Duka A. 29. Gjata M. 82. Kasa R. 23. Lubas J. 24. Rama R. 10. Spahiu S.	22. Cavic D. 6. Celic M. 14. Djajic P. 12. Grujic N. (G) 9. Hasukic E. 45. Karaklajic P. 27. Kulasin E. 49. Marcetic S. 92. Milicevic N. (G) 4. Pejovic N. 18. Subic A. 31. Susic S.
Coaches
Tetova E.	Zizovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Hrelja D. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Ibrahimoglu M. ⚽,
20', Vranjes S. 🟨,
22', Xhemajli A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Lukic J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Grahovac S. 🟨,
56', Hrelja D. ↓, Kulasin E. ↑,
56', Vranjes S. ↓, Celic M. ↑,
57', Dulysse F. ↓, Kasa R. ↑,
63', Herrera S. 🟨,
64', Zizovic M. 🟨,
66', Kulasin E. 🟨,
74', Ahmetaj A. ↓, Gjata M. ↑,
76', Kvrzic Z. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Doukouo L. ⚽,
86', Vukovic D. ↓, Cavic D. ↑,
86', Grahovac S. ↓, Pejovic N. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
94', Zizovic M. 🟥,
99', Lukic J. ↓, Hasukic E. ↑,
105', Aliyev Z. ↓, Lubas J. ↑,
108', Doukouo L. ↓, Rama R. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Sherri A. 🟨,
1, Herrera S. (Pen),
2, Aleksi A. (Pen),
2, Pejovic N. (Pen),
3, Ibrahimoglu M. (Pen),
3, Hasukic E. (Pen),
4, Lushkja R. (Pen),
4, Cavic D. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Elbasan Arena. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Egnatia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borac Banja Luka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Egnatia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Budućnost Podgorica	1:2 ✺
28.06.24	Maribor - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:2 ✺
19.06.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Ružomberok	2:2 ✺
Albanian Super League
26.05.24	Partizani Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTTW
- Borac Banja Luka
UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.24	Borac Banja Luka - Corvinul Hunedoara	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	UTA Arad - Borac Banja Luka	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Borac Banja Luka - Celje	2:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
26.05.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Borac Banja Luka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:0

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