Match Info

FIFA Arab Cup - Round 3

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Canada	beIN Connect
Egypt	MBC Masr 2, MBC Masr
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Kuwait	Shasha
Qatar	Shoof
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Egypt		Jordan

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	4.95
	1.65	3.53	5.97
	1.68	3.46	5.53	Watch
	1.65	3.2	5
	1.68	3.45	5.31	Watch
	1.64	3.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.19)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	5.38 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Egypt
55.7%

Draw
27.2%

Jordan
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egypt's performance.

Jordan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jordan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egypt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jordan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Egypt - Jordan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Egypt will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Egypt: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Egypt will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bassam M. (G) Ceramica Cleopatra 4. El Eraki K. Al Masry 15. El Wensh Mahmoud (C) Zamalek 3. Marei Y. Al Ahly 21. Zakaria Y. Ghazl El Mahallah 12. Tawfik A. Shamal 22. Afsha Al Ahly 19. Mohamed G. Modern Sport 11. Gaber M. Al Masry 18. Hamdi M. Pyramids 8. Issa I. Ceramica Cleopatra	22. Bani Attiah N. (G) Al Jazeera Amman 5. Al Hourani H. Al-Faisaly Amman 18. Obaid S. Al Hussein 16. Hajabi A. Al Hussein 17. Smeeri I. Al Salt 14. Ayed R. (C) Al Hussein 15. Saadeh I. Al-Muharraq 2. Abu Hasheesh M. Al-Karma 7. Shararh Al Ramtha 8. Al Fakhouri O. Al Hussein 10. Ersan A. Al-Faisaly Amman
Substitutes
16. Awad M. (G) Zamalek 17. Elneny M. Al Jazira 14. El Solia A. Ceramica Cleopatra 2. Hany A. Ceramica Cleopatra 9. Hassan H. Modern Sport 1. Lotfi A. (G) ZED FC 13. Mosaad M. Modern Sport 5. Nabil R. Ceramica Cleopatra 6. Reyad H. Petrojet 20. Saad M. ZED FC 10. Sherif M. Al Ahly	4. Abu Dahab M. Moghayer Al Sarhan 1. Abulaila Y. (G) Al Hussein 20. Abu Taha M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13. Al Mardi M. Dibba Al Fujairah 11. Al Naimat Y. Al Arabi (Qatar) 23. Al Quraishi A. Al Hussein 21. Al Rashdan N. Al Zawraa 19. Al Rosan S. Al Hussein 6. Jamous A. Al Jazeera Amman 3. Nasib A. Al Zawraa 9. Olwan A. Al-Karma 12. Shalabia M. (G)
Coaches
Toulan H.	Sellami J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Abu Hasheesh M. ⚽,
39', Mohamed G. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Shararh ⚽, Ersan A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Afsha ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
46', Mohamed G. ↓, Elneny M. ↑,
46', Abu Hasheesh M. ↓, Abu Taha M. ↑,
57', Zakaria Y. ↓, Hany A. ↑,
58', Obaid S. ↓, Al Rosan S. ↑,
59', El Eraki K. 🟨,
63', Ersan A. ↓, Al Mardi M. ↑,
63', Al Hourani H. ↓, Nasib A. ↑,
68', Gaber M. ↓, Saad M. ↑,
71', Hajabi A. ↓, Abu Dahab M. ↑,
82', El Eraki K. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
83', Shararh ↓, Olwan A. ↑,
84', Elneny M. 🟨,
90', Marei Y. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 3, Olwan A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Jordan is Qualified for FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs )

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Egypt is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Egypt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egypt
FIFA Arab Cup
06.12.25	United Arab Emirates - Egypt	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Egypt - Kuwait	1:1 ✺
Friendly
17.11.25	Egypt - Cape Verde	1:1 ✺
14.11.25	Uzbekistan - Egypt	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Egypt - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTLW
- Jordan
FIFA Arab Cup
06.12.25	Kuwait - Jordan	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	Jordan - United Arab Emirates	2:1 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Jordan - Mali	0:0 ✺
14.11.25	Tunisia - Jordan	3:2 ✺
14.10.25	Albania - Jordan	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA Arab Cup
11.12.21	Egypt - Jordan	3:1 ET

Egypt - Jordan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide