Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA
Denmark	17:00	Discovery+
Finland	18:00	Discovery+
Mexico	09:00	Claro Sports
Romania	18:00	TVR 1
Spain	17:00	Eurosport 1
United Kingdom	16:00	Discovery+ UK, Eurosport 1
International	15:00	Eurosport 5, Max


	Egypt		Morocco

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.7	1.67
	5	3.75	1.65
	5	3.75	1.7
	5.58	4.01	1.75
	5.11	3.87	1.68	Watch
	5.5	3.85	1.69
	5	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.78)	3.81 ↑ (3.53)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Football with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KWWE-LD (D3) Lake Charles, LA)

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Current Win Probability

Egypt
18.3%

Draw
25.1%

Morocco
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.4%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egypt's form might have worsened.

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morocco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egypt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morocco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	20%	56%

Egypt - Morocco Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Egypt will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Morocco will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Morocco: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hamza Alaa (G) Al Ahly 6. Shehata M. Zamalek 15. Tarek M. Al Masry 5. Abdelmaguid H. Zamalek 13. El Debes K. Al Ahly 17. Elneny M. (C) Al Jazira 12. Ahmed Kouka Al Ahly 7. Saber M. Pyramids 14. Zizo Zamalek 9. Faisal O. National Bank Egypt 10. Adel I. Pyramids	1. Munir (G) Al Wehda 2. Hakimi A. (C) PSG 3. Nakach A. FAR Rabat 4. Boukamir M. Charleroi 11. El Ouahdi Z. Genk 14. Targhalline O. Le Havre 18. Richardson A. Reims 8. El Khannouss B. Genk 10. Akhomach I. Villarreal 9. Rahimi S. Al Ain 16. Ezzalzouli A. Betis
Substitutes
3. Atef A. ZED FC 16. El Gabry A. (G) Ceramica Cleopatra 2. Fayed O. Fenerbahce 19. Hamdi M. 8. Kamal Z. Zamalek 18. Mazhar B. Panathinaikos 11. Saad M. ZED FC	7. Ben Seghir E. Monaco 6. Bouchouari B. St Etienne 12. Ghanimi R. (G) FUS Rabat 13. Kechta Y. Le Havre 19. Manaout H. Union Touarga 15. Maouhoub E. Dynamo Moscow 5. Tahif A. Berkane
Coaches
Rogerio Micale	Sektioui T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Zizo ↓, Saad M. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Ezzalzouli A. ⚽, El Ouahdi Z. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Rahimi S. ⚽, Ezzalzouli A. (A),
31', Adel I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', El Debes K. ↓, Atef A. ↑,
50', Atef A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 3, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Ezzalzouli A. (A),
56', Saber M. ↓, Kamal Z. ↑,
61', Hakimi A. 🟨,
63', Targhalline O. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Rahimi S. ⚽, Akhomach I. (A),
73', 0 - 5, Nakach A. ⚽, Rahimi S. (A),
77', Richardson A. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
78', Ezzalzouli A. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
78', El Khannouss B. ↓, Maouhoub E. ↑,
81', Nakach A. ↓, Tahif A. ↑,
86', Faisal O. ↓, Mazhar B. ↑,
86', Shehata M. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
87', 0 - 6, Hakimi A. ⚽,

Preview

Egypt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Morocco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Morocco is a favorite.

There will not play in Egypt: Fayed O. (Red Card)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egypt Olympic
Olympic Games - Football
05.08.24	France - Egypt	3:1 ET ✺
02.08.24	Egypt - Paraguay	2:1 penalties ✺
30.07.24	Spain - Egypt	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Uzbekistan - Egypt	0:1 ✺
24.07.24	Egypt - Dominican Republic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWWT
- Morocco Olympic
Olympic Games - Football
05.08.24	Morocco - Spain	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	Morocco - USA	4:0 ✺
30.07.24	Morocco - Iraq	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Ukraine - Morocco	2:1 ✺
24.07.24	Argentina - Morocco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLT

Egypt - Morocco