Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 17

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Eichstätt		Abtswind

	1	X	2
	1.77	4	3.55
	1.88	3.95	3.3
	1.81	4.09	3.45
	1.81	3.92	3.43
	1.77	4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.61)	3.99 ↓ (4.06)	3.46 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eichstätt
50.6%

Draw
22.9%

Abtswind
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

22.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

21.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eichstätt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eichstätt's form might have worsened.

Abtswind has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abtswind's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eichstätt than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eichstätt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abtswind than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abtswind, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Gross F. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Fries J. ⚽,
13', 2 - 1, Hofrichter D. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Fries J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 2, Dussler A. ⚽,
58', 4 - 2, Nitaj F. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Eichstätt
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.10.24	Eichstätt - Bayern Hof	3:0 ✺
03.10.24	Neudrossenfeld - Eichstätt	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Eichstätt - ATSV Erlangen	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Jahn Regensburg II - Eichstätt	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Eichstätt - Würzburger FV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTWT
- TSV Abtswind
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
02.10.24	Cham - Abtswind	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Abtswind - Bayern Hof	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Neudrossenfeld - Abtswind	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Abtswind - ATSV Erlangen	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Jahn Regensburg II - Abtswind	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
04.05.24	Abtswind - Eichstätt	3:3
14.10.23	Eichstätt - Abtswind	4:1

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