Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Eilenburg		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.65	1.75
	4.3	3.81	1.76
	3.97	3.5	1.78
	7.32	4.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↓ (7.32)	3.79 ↓ (4.2)	1.67 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eilenburg
19.1%

Draw
24.7%

Lokomotive Leipzig
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

21.6%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

21.1%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eilenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eilenburg's performance.

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotive Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eilenburg than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eilenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotive Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Cevis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 0.

In recent matches, Eilenburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotive Leipzig is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lokomotive Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lokomotive Leipzig has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotive Leipzig is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eilenburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eilenburg
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.08.25	Meuselwitz - Eilenburg	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Eilenburg - Altglienicke	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Hertha Berlin II - Eilenburg	5:2 ✺
02.08.25	Eilenburg - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Preussen - Eilenburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLWT
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemnitzer	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04	0:1 ET ✺
German Regionalliga Nordost
10.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Meuselwitz	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
02.02.25	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:3
09.08.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Eilenburg	2:0
03.02.24	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:4
16.08.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Eilenburg	2:1
19.03.22	Lokomotive Leipzig - Eilenburg	1:1
19.09.21	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1
Club Friendly
02.02.19	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2

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