Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 27

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Trier		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.78
	2.41	3.25	2.81
	1.85	3.66	3.68
	2.38	3.15	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.54)	3.32 ↓ (3.54)	2.99 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Trier
41%

Draw
28%

Mainz II
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Trier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eintracht Trier's performance.

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainz II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Trier than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mainz II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eintracht Trier - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Wrusch M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 0 - 2, Derstroff J. ⚽,
55', 0 - 3, Videira J. ⚽,
77', 0 - 4, Malli Y. ⚽,
87', 0 - 5, Yamazaki T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht Trier won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Eintracht Trier has had a series of away games.

Eintracht Trier might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eintracht Trier won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht Trier won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Eintracht Trier	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
15	Mainz II	10	3	0	7	10:21	-11	9

Last Results with these Odds

Mainz II - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Trier
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.03.26	Balingen - Eintracht Trier	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Sandhausen - Eintracht Trier	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Eintracht Trier - FSV Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Bayern Alzenau - Eintracht Trier	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Freiberg - Eintracht Trier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTLL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.03.26	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Homburg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mainz II - Bayern Alzenau	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Mainz II	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Mainz II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.09.25	Mainz II - Eintracht Trier	3:2
04.05.25	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	1:1
03.11.24	Mainz II - Eintracht Trier	0:1
11.03.23	Mainz II - Eintracht Trier	2:0
04.09.22	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	0:2
26.04.14	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	1:0
19.10.13	Mainz II - Eintracht Trier	3:3

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