Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Ejea		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.1
	3.85	2.95	1.95
	3.45	3.05	2.03
	3.7	2.95	2.19
	3.42	3.22	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.05)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	2.07 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ejea
25.6%

Draw
30.2%

Peña Deportiva
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.3%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

21.1%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ejea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ejea - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Ejea has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peña Deportiva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peña Deportiva will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ejea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ejea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.01.22	Ejea - Terrassa	0:2 ✺
19.12.21	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Ejea	4:0 ✺
12.12.21	Ejea - Espanyol B	1:4 ✺
05.12.21	Lleida - Ejea	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	Ejea - Ebro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Peña Deportiva
Club Friendly
13.01.22	Ibiza - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.01.22	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:3 ✺
19.12.21	Terrassa - Peña Deportiva	1:2 ✺
12.12.21	Peña Deportiva - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.09.21	Peña Deportiva - Ejea	1:0

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