Match Info

Super League

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Ekhaya		Chitipa United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.22	5.68	Watch
	1.6	3.2	6.08
	1.96	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)	3.14 ↑ (3)	5.17 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekhaya
52.9%

Draw
29.3%

Chitipa United
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

30.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

29.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekhaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekhaya's performance.

Chitipa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chitipa United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekhaya than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekhaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chitipa United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chitipa United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ekhaya - Chitipa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Lumbe J. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Lumbe J. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Saviel E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Ekhaya has had a series of home games.

Recently, Chitipa United has had a series of away games.

Ekhaya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ekhaya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekhaya FC
Malawi Premier Division
01.11.25	Ekhaya - Dedza Dynamos	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Ekhaya - Blue Eagles	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Ekhaya - Kamuzu Barracks	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ekhaya - Songwe Border United	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	MAFCO - Ekhaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWWL
- Chitipa United
Malawi Premier Division
05.11.25	Civo United - Chitipa United	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Kamuzu Barracks - Chitipa United	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Chitipa United - MAFCO	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Songwe Border United - Chitipa United	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	CRECK Sporting - Chitipa United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Malawi Premier Division
21.04.25	Chitipa United - Ekhaya	1:0

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