Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	El Ejido		Atlético Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.45	4	6.5
	1.46	3.85	6.01
	1.43	4.05	6.63
	1.45	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	3.98 ↑ (3.75)	6.33 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
62.8%

Draw
22.8%

Atlético Melilla
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

17.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Atlético Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Ejido that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Melilla than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

El Ejido is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Melilla has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Ejido could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match El Ejido is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
21.01.24	Málaga Juniors - El Ejido	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Real Jaén - El Ejido	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	El Ejido - Huétor Vega	0:0 ✺
22.12.23	El Ejido - Torreperogil	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Motril - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTTLL
- Atlético Melilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.01.24	Atlético Melilla - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Atlético Melilla - Torredonjimeno	0:1 ✺
22.12.23	CP Almería - Atlético Melilla	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Atlético Melilla - Almeria B	2:4 ✺
06.12.23	Torre Del Mar - Atlético Melilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.09.23	Atlético Melilla - El Ejido	1:1

El Ejido - Atlético Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide