Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	El Ejido		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.75	2.85	2.5
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.53	3.04	2.94
	2.69	3.1	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.72)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.65 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
34.6%

Draw
30.9%

Melilla
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

21.3%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Ejido that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Ejido - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

El Ejido is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melilla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.10.21	Real Murcia - El Ejido	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	El Ejido - Hércules	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Eldense - El Ejido	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	El Ejido - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - El Ejido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLT
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.10.21	Melilla - Levante B	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Pulpileño - Melilla	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Melilla - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Alzira - Melilla	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Melilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.01.19	El Ejido - Melilla	1:1
25.08.18	Melilla - El Ejido	1:0
18.03.18	Melilla - El Ejido	2:0
29.10.17	El Ejido - Melilla	1:0
08.01.17	El Ejido - Melilla	0:2
20.08.16	Melilla - El Ejido	2:0

El Ejido - Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide