The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Makarem de Mahdia 38.6%
Draw 30.5%
Mégrine 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
27.6%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
26.3%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Makarem de Mahdia's form might have worsened.
Mégrine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mégrine's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Makarem de Mahdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mégrine than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mégrine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Makarem de Mahdia - Mégrine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Louati A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
EM Mahdia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mégrine has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
EM Mahdia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EM Mahdia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, EM Mahdia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.