Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	El Palo		Alhaurino

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.2	2.88
	2.29	3.18	2.98
	2.28	3.14	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	2.92 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palo
40.2%

Draw
28.7%

Alhaurino
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-1%)

El Palo - Alhaurino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

El Palo - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Palo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.25	Torredonjimeno - El Palo	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	El Palo - Granada B	2:4 ✺
26.10.25	Huétor Vega - El Palo	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	El Palo - Huétor Tájar	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	El Palo - Martos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.25	Alhaurino - UD San Pedro	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Motril - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Torredonjimeno - Alhaurino	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Alhaurino - Granada B	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Huétor Vega - Alhaurino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.01.22	Alhaurino - El Palo	1:2
28.03.21	Alhaurino - El Palo	1:1
20.12.20	El Palo - Alhaurino	0:2
15.12.18	El Palo - Alhaurino	3:1

El Palo - Alhaurino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide