Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	El Palo		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.4
	2.27	3.2	2.85
	1.95	3.27	3.46
	1.94	3.42	3.57	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.45
	2.27	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.26)	3.3 ↑ (3.17)	3.26 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palo
44.3%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Porcuna
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

El Palo - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Pegalajar ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

El Palo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches El Palo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams El Palo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Palo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.01.25	Motril - El Palo	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	El Palo - Torre Del Mar	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	El Palo - El Ejido	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Huétor Vega - El Palo	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	El Palo - Arenas Armilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTT
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.01.25	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Tájar	3:2 ✺
19.01.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Atlético Porcuna - Martos	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	1:4 ✺
15.12.24	Atlético Porcuna - Torre Del Mar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.03.23	El Palo - Atlético Porcuna	1:0
06.11.22	Atlético Porcuna - El Palo	1:2
06.01.22	El Palo - Atlético Porcuna	4:3
15.12.19	El Palo - Atlético Porcuna	1:0

El Palo - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide