Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	El Palo		Huétor Tájar

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.09	2.61
	10.68	7.13	1.18	Watch
	2.6	2.98	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (2.57)	4.4 ↑ (3.13)	2.12 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palo
21.2%

Draw
25.6%

Huétor Tájar
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Palo's form might have worsened.

Huétor Tájar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huétor Tájar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Palo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huétor Tájar than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huétor Tájar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Palo - Huétor Tájar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Mayas M. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Hita M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 3.

El Palo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Huétor Tájar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Huétor Tájar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Palo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.10.25	El Palo - Martos	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	El Palo - Marbellí	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Mancha Real - El Palo	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	El Palo - Arenas Armilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTL
- CD Huétor Tájar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
12.10.25	Huétor Tájar - UD San Pedro	5:1 ✺
08.10.25	Huétor Tájar - Huétor Vega	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Alhaurino - Huétor Tájar	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Huétor Tájar - Torredonjimeno	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Orihuela - Huétor Tájar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.10.24	Huétor Tájar - El Palo	1:0
15.01.23	El Palo - Huétor Tájar	1:0
18.09.22	Huétor Tájar - El Palo	0:1
09.02.22	El Palo - Huétor Tájar	2:1
26.09.21	Huétor Tájar - El Palo	2:0
10.11.19	El Palo - Huétor Tájar	2:0
13.01.19	Huétor Tájar - El Palo	1:2

El Palo - Huétor Tájar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide