Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 - Round 17

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Elassona		Aris Filiaton

	1	X	2
	1.68	3	5.5
	1.73	3	5
	1.82	2.84	4.96
	1.55	3.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.42)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	5.3 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elassona
53.1%

Draw
29.9%

Aris Filiaton
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elassona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elassona's performance.

Aris Filiaton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris Filiaton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elassona than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elassona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Filiaton than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris Filiaton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Elassona - Aris Filiaton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Elassona will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Elassona (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 3 (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 3 (Winners stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Aris Filiaton has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elassona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PO Elassona
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
21.12.25	Anagennisi Arta - Elassona	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Elassona - Trikala	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Asteras Stavrou - Elassona	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Elassona - Nea Selefkia	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Anthoupoli - Elassona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LTWWT
- Aris Filiaton
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
21.12.25	Trikala - Aris Filiaton	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Nea Selefkia - Aris Filiaton	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Tilikratis - Aris Filiaton	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Aris Filiaton - Anagennisi Arta	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Asteras Stavrou - Aris Filiaton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
05.10.25	Aris Filiaton - Elassona	2:2

Elassona - Aris Filiaton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide