Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Elazığ Karakoçan		Beyoglu Yeni Carsi

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.6
	2.65	2.8	2.5
	2.57	2.88	2.67
	2.7	3	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.48)	2.85 ↑ (2.75)	2.58 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elazığ Karakoçan
34.2%

Draw
31.3%

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

23.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elazığ Karakoçan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elazığ Karakoçan than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elazığ Karakoçan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beyoglu Yeni Carsi than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beyoglu Yeni Carsi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elazığ Karakoçan - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 11).

Elazığ Karakoçan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Beyoglu Yeni Carsi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elazığ Karakoçan FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
05.12.21	Darıca Gençlerbirliği - Elazığ Karakoçan	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Elazığ Karakoçan - Şile Yıldızspor	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Düzcespor - Elazığ Karakoçan	3:1 ✺
17.11.21	Elazığ Karakoçan - Malatya Yeşilyurt	3:0 ✺
13.11.21	Çarşambaspor - Elazığ Karakoçan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWT
- Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
04.12.21	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Bayrampasa	0:4 ✺
21.11.21	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Siirt İl Özel İdare	4:0 ✺
17.11.21	Kestelspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Kızılcabölükspor	2:2 ✺
06.11.21	Hacettepe - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTT

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