The best margin for this event is 11.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Electron Velikiy Novgorod 12.5%
Draw 19.5%
Zvezda St. Petersburg 68%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16%
23.2%
60.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.1%
21.9%
64.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Electron Velikiy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Zvezda St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvezda St. Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Electron Velikiy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 11 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Promotion Group)).
Electron is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Zvezda St. Petersburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Electron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Zvezda St. Petersburg is a favorite.