Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Ellerton		Bagatelle

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.36	4.64	6.07
	1.38	4.76	6.24	Watch
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.34	4.65	7.13	Watch
	1.41	4.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)	6.25 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ellerton
65.5%

Draw
20.1%

Bagatelle
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

20.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

15.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ellerton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Bagatelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ellerton than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ellerton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagatelle than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bagatelle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ellerton - Bagatelle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

In recent matches, Ellerton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bagatelle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ellerton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bagatelle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ellerton is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ellerton FC	18	10	4	4	33:17	16	34
7	Bagatelle SSC	18	5	3	10	20:30	-10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ellerton FC
Barbados Premier League
19.04.26	Pride of Gall Hill - Ellerton	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	UWI Blackbirds - Ellerton	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	Ellerton - Kickstart	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Ellerton - Wotton	8:0 ✺
08.03.26	Brittons Hill - Ellerton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- Bagatelle SSC
Barbados Premier League
21.04.26	Brittons Hill - Bagatelle	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Paradise - Bagatelle	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Bagatelle - St Andrew Lions	1:2
17.03.26	Weymouth Wales - Bagatelle	5:1 ✺
08.03.26	Wotton - Bagatelle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Ellerton - Bagatelle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide