Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday


	Elversberg II		Auersmacher

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	1.78
	3.05	3.6	1.88
	3.35	3.75	1.77
	3.74	4.06	1.79
	3.4	3.6	1.78
	3.52	4.05	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.83)	3.81 ↑ (3.58)	1.79 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg II
26.4%

Draw
23.5%

Auersmacher
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

24.8%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

23.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Auersmacher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auersmacher's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg II than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auersmacher than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Elversberg II - Auersmacher Predictions

Users Predictions: Auersmacher will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Oberliga Rheinland~Pfalz/Saar (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Oberliga Rheinland~Pfalz/Saar (Championship Group)).

Elversberg II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Auersmacher is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auersmacher will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg II
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
22.10.22	Elversberg II - Arminia Ludwigshafen	2:6 ✺
15.10.22	Kaiserslautern II - Elversberg II	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Pirmasens - Elversberg II	3:0 ✺
24.09.22	Diefflen - Elversberg II	8:0 ✺
17.09.22	Elversberg II - Mechtersheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- SV Auersmacher
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
22.10.22	Morlautern - Auersmacher	1:4 ✺
15.10.22	Auersmacher - Dudenhofen	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Auersmacher - Hertha Wiesbach	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Auersmacher - Arminia Ludwigshafen	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Kaiserslautern II - Auersmacher	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLL

Elversberg II - Auersmacher: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide