Match Info

ITALY: PRIMAVERA 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Empoli U19		Fiorentina U19

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.6
				Watch
	2.39	3.44	2.87
	2.1	3.3	2.7
	2.29	3.3	2.81
	2.31	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.87)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	2.75 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli U19
39.8%

Draw
27.2%

Fiorentina U19
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli U19's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli U19 than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U19 than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Seghetti J. (G) . Tosto L. . Dragoner A. . Stassin N. . Gaj S. . Bacci J. . Vallarelli F. . Kaczmarski I. . Sodero A. . El Biache N. . Fini R.	1. Tognetti L. (G) 5. Biagetti C. 4. Baroncelli L. 17. Romani L. 11. Spaggiari R. 44. Harder J. 33. Ievoli M. 29. Fortini N. 19. Rubino T. 9. Sene F. 24. Braschi R.
Substitutes
. Ansah H. . Bacciardi A. . Bonassi L. . Falcusan D. . Forciniti L. . Majdandzic P. . Nabian H. . Pauliuc N. . Popov B. . Stoyanov A. . Vertua F. (G)	10. Denes A. 14. Gudelevicius E. 26. Kouadio E. 22. Leonardelli P. (G) 23. Maggini F. 77. Mendoza W. 32. Mignani C. 18. Ofoma C. 15. Sadotti E. 3. Scuderi G. 8. Vitolo F.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli U19 won 1.

Empoli U19 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fiorentina U19 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Empoli U19 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Empoli U19 won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli U19 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli U19
Italian Primavera 1
15.01.24	Sassuolo U19 - Empoli U19	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Empoli U19 - Bologna U19	1:2 ✺
22.12.23	Torino U19 - Empoli U19	2:1 ✺
15.12.23	Empoli U19 - Sampdoria U19	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Lecce U19 - Empoli U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Fiorentina U19
Italian Primavera 1
14.01.24	Atalanta U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
10.01.24	Fiorentina U19 - Milan U19	4:2 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
06.01.24	Fiorentina U19 - Monza U19	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Bologna U19 - Fiorentina U19	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Fiorentina U19 - Lecce U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
12.11.23	Fiorentina U19 - Empoli U19	1:1
15.02.23	Empoli U19 - Fiorentina U19	2:0
26.08.22	Fiorentina U19 - Empoli U19	1:0
02.04.22	Fiorentina U19 - Empoli U19	1:1
Italian Supercoppa Primavera
09.12.21	Empoli U19 - Fiorentina U19	3:4 penalties
Italian Primavera 1
20.11.21	Empoli U19 - Fiorentina U19	2:0
24.04.21	Fiorentina U19 - Empoli U19	0:4

Empoli U19 - Fiorentina U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide