Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Encarnación		Fernando de la Mora

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	2.55
	2.42	3.15	2.62
	2.38	3.20	2.70
	2.45	3.34	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.65
	2.56	3.39	2.61
	2.40	3.15	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)	3.21 ↓ (3.36)	2.64 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Encarnación
37.4%

Draw
28.2%

Fernando de la Mora
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Encarnación - Fernando de la Mora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent form of Encarnación has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Fernando de la Mora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Encarnación won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Encarnación won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25:39	-14	22

Last Results with these Odds

Encarnación - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.55%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.07.26	Encarnación - 3 de Noviembre	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	General Caballero JLM - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Encarnación - Guaireña	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Resistencia - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
08.06.26	Encarnación - Sol de América	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - Fernando de la Mora	2:3 ✺
10.07.26	Fernando de la Mora - Paraguarí	2:2 ✺
03.07.26	Fernando de la Mora - 3 de Noviembre	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	General Caballero JLM - Fernando de la Mora	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Fernando de la Mora - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.04.26	Fernando de la Mora - Encarnación	0:2
26.09.25	Encarnación - Fernando de la Mora	1:1
21.06.25	Fernando de la Mora - Encarnación	1:1
26.07.24	Encarnación - Fernando de la Mora	4:1

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