Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play


	Envigado		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	2.80	2.85
	2.45	2.75	2.95	Watch
	2.74	2.88	3.02
	2.45	2.91	3.15	Watch
	2.65	2.65	3.00
	2.71	2.81	2.91	Watch
	2.42	2.75	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.15)	2.79 ↓ (3.1)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
36.1%

Draw
32.9%

Unión Magdalena
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.8%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Envigado - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 80. Aristizabal J. 15. Cuervo G. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 8. Hurtado W. 99. Marulanda M. 32. Nieva J. 2. Palacios D. 17. Rodallega Y. 77. Valencia Mosquera D. A.	1. Cabezas V. (G) 17. Arrieta G. 7. Blanco R. 23. Congo J. 4. Delvalle R. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. (C) 10. Mercado J. 18. Molina F. 16. Surmay O. 20. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
20. Catano J. 7. Dawson D. 21. Gomez J. 33. Londono E. . Palacios J. . Rey J. 10. Rodriguez J. . Salinas S. . Villa M. (G)	40. Escalante V. 14. Farias J. 22. Giraldo J. 9. Iguaran C. 8. Prado V. 28. Salazar K. 34. Tasso M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟨,
42', Mera D. 🟨,
45+2', Arrieta G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acuna S. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Lerma J. ⚽,
57', Nieva J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
57', Hurtado W. ↓, Catano J. ↑,
64', Blanco R. 🟨,
80', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Rey J. ↑,
86', Mercado J. ↓, Salazar K. ↑,
88', Molina F. 🟨,
89', Vasquez J. 🟨,
90+7', Salazar K. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1.

Envigado has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unión Magdalena is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Envigado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Magdalena - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.73%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
19.08.26	Tigres - Envigado	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Envigado	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
30.07.26	Envigado - Once Caldas	0:3 ✺
Colombian Primera B
27.07.26	Envigado - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Once Caldas - Envigado	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
28.08.26	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Tigres - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
31.07.26	Unión Magdalena - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
09.04.26	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	4:2
Colombian Primera A
17.10.25	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	3:1
26.04.25	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	2:1
31.07.23	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:0
05.02.23	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	1:1
06.08.22	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	1:2
11.02.22	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	2:1

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