Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Erciyes 38		Tepecik Belediye

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.8	2.05
	2.71	3.68	2.24	Watch
	2.72	3.52	2.24
	2.85	3.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (1.76)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	2.15 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erciyes 38
32.8%

Draw
24.7%

Tepecik Belediye
42.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

27.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erciyes 38 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erciyes 38's form might have worsened.

Tepecik Belediye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tepecik Belediye's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erciyes 38 than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erciyes 38, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepecik Belediye than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tepecik Belediye, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erciyes 38 - Tepecik Belediye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Bodur O. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Kanarya T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Balci E. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Balci E. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Erciyes have a series of guest games.

In this match Erciyes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Erciyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erciyes 38 FSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
02.04.25	Orduspor 1967 - Erciyes 38	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Edirnespor Gençlik - Erciyes 38	4:3 ✺
22.03.25	1926 Polatlı - Erciyes 38	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Erciyes 38 - Bursa Nilüferspor	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Izmir Çoruhlu - Erciyes 38	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WLLWT
- Tepecik Belediye
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
02.04.25	Mardin 1969 - Tepecik Belediye	5:1 ✺
26.03.25	Tepecik Belediye - 1926 Polatlı	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bursa Nilüferspor - Tepecik Belediye	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Tepecik Belediye - Izmir Çoruhlu	4:1 ✺
09.03.25	Niğde Belediyespor - Tepecik Belediye	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
23.11.24	Tepecik Belediye - Erciyes 38	2:2

Erciyes 38 - Tepecik Belediye