Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Westfalen - Round 11

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Erkenschwick		Victoria Clarholz

	1	X	2
	1.68	4	3.95
	1.68	4.15	3.77
	1.68	4.22	3.88
	1.68	3.94	4
	1.68	4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.37)	4.06 ↓ (5.11)	3.91 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erkenschwick
54.3%

Draw
22.4%

Victoria Clarholz
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

17.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

12.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erkenschwick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erkenschwick's form might have worsened.

Victoria Clarholz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Clarholz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erkenschwick than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erkenschwick that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Clarholz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17).

Recent matches Erkenschwick is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Victoria Clarholz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Victoria Clarholz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Erkenschwick is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Erkenschwick won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Including matches at home between the teams Erkenschwick won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Erkenschwick
German Oberliga Westfalen
11.10.24	Bövinghausen - Erkenschwick	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Erkenschwick - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Erkenschwick - Bochum II	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Gievenbeck - Erkenschwick	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Erkenschwick - Westfalia Rhynern	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLW
- Victoria Clarholz
German Oberliga Westfalen
13.10.24	Victoria Clarholz - Preußen Münster 2	0:3 ✺
03.10.24	Verl II - Victoria Clarholz	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Victoria Clarholz - Schermbeck 2020	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Concordia Wiemelhausen - Victoria Clarholz	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Victoria Clarholz - Vreden	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
12.05.24	Erkenschwick - Victoria Clarholz	0:0

Erkenschwick - Victoria Clarholz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide