Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Erlbach		Kirchheimer

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.5	13
	1.16	7.22	13.17
	1.17	7.22	13.17
	1.14	6.88	14.6
	1.15	6.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.39)	6.86 ↑ (4.71)	13.39 ↑ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlbach
79.7%

Draw
13.4%

Kirchheimer
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

19.7%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

18.3%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erlbach's performance.

Kirchheimer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kirchheimer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erlbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kirchheimer than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kirchheimer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Kirchgessner E. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Erlbach is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kirchheimer is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Erlbach is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Erlbach won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
13.04.24	Nördlingen - Erlbach	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Erlbach - Türkspor Augsburg	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Landsberg - Erlbach	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Erlbach - Dachau	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Gundelfingen - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTWW
- Kirchheimer SC
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
06.04.24	Schwaben Augsburg - Kirchheimer	5:0 ✺
28.03.24	Kirchheimer - 1860 München II	6:0 ✺
23.03.24	Deisenhofen - Kirchheimer	4:0 ✺
16.03.24	TSV Kottern - Kirchheimer	3:2 ✺
09.03.24	Kirchheimer - Nördlingen	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
29.09.23	Kirchheimer - Erlbach	0:4

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