Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 16

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Erlbach		Schwaben Augsburg

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.31	3.51	2.04
	3.2	3.52	1.98
	3.2	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlbach
28.3%

Draw
26.1%

Schwaben Augsburg
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

25.2%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Schwaben Augsburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schwaben Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation: )).

Recent matches Erlbach is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Schwaben Augsburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schwaben Augsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Schwaben Augsburg have a series of home games.

Schwaben Augsburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Erlbach won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Erlbach won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
07.10.23	1860 München II - Erlbach	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Erlbach - Deisenhofen	0:3 ✺
29.09.23	Kirchheimer - Erlbach	0:4 ✺
22.09.23	Erlbach - Nördlingen	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Türkspor Augsburg - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLW
- TSV Schwaben Augsburg
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
07.10.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Rain am Lech	5:0 ✺
03.10.23	Schwaben Augsburg - TSV Kottern	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	1860 München II - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Deisenhofen	1:0 ✺
20.09.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Landsberg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
19.05.23	Erlbach - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1
22.10.22	Schwaben Augsburg - Erlbach	3:1

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