Match Info

NB III - Southeast - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest		Csepel

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.12	6.79	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7.65
	1.4	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	4.07 ↓ (4.12)	7.15 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest
64.8%

Draw
22.4%

Csepel
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Csepel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Csepel aligns with the current prediction.

Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Csepel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 10).

ESMTK Budapest is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Csepel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, ESMTK Budapest has had a series of away games.

In this match, ESMTK Budapest is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that ESMTK Budapest will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ESMTK Budapest won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, ESMTK Budapest won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB III Southeast
15.11.25	Monori - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Tiszaföldvár - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	2:5 ✺
02.11.25	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - III. Kerületi TVE	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
29.10.25	Kozármisleny - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	0:1 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB III Southeast
26.10.25	Hódmezővásárhelyi - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWW
- Csepel FC
Hungarian NB III Southeast
15.11.25	Csepel - BKV Előre	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Csepel - Honved II	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Várfürdő-Gyulai Termál - Csepel	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Csepel - Szegedi VSE	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Martfű - Csepel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southeast
06.08.25	Csepel - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	2:0
16.11.24	Csepel - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	2:3
Club Friendly
25.01.17	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Csepel	0:2

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