Match Info

CAF Champions League - Round 6

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Maximo 360
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Tunisia	Watania 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Espérance ST		Atlético Petróleos de Luanda

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.6	6.5
	1.49	3.7	7.4
	1.46	3.65	8.05
	1.46	3.9	7.68	Watch
	1.44	3.3	7.5
	1.45	3.56	7.75	Watch
	1.46	3.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.35)	3.64 ↓ (4.27)	7.63 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espérance ST
62.7%

Draw
25.2%

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21.5%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

19.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Espérance ST's form might have worsened.

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Petróleos de Luanda than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Espérance ST - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Espérance ST will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Atlético Petróleos will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ben Said B. (G) 37. Drager M. 6. Jelassi H. 15. Tougai M. 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 7. Boualia K. 8. Tka H. 39. Haj Ali M. 21. Konate A. 10. Yan Sasse 29. Diakite A.	1. Marques H. (G) 24. Kinito 13. Pinto P. 25. Afonso E. (C) 33. Ilidio A. 27. Hossi A. 20. Pereira J. 11. Costinha 8. Toro J. 23. Tiago Reis 12. Benny
Substitutes
25. Bouzaiene E. 22. Danho F. 34. Diarra J. 27. Guenichi K. 19. Jabri A. 31. Jebali C. 12. Laifi N. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 24. Rafia H.	10. Aparicio P. 22. Augusto (G) 4. Constantino Aderito R. 7. Cruz A. 3. Gilberto 37. Maya 19. Paciencia J. 26. Tiago Azulao 18. Vidinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Tka H. 🟨,
40', Boualia K. 🟨,
43', Hossi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Boualia K. ↓, Jebali C. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Diakite A. ⚽, Jebali C. (A),
64', Toro J. ↓, Aparicio P. ↑,
64', Ilidio A. ↓, Paciencia J. ↑,
64', Diakite A. ↓, Danho F. ↑,
72', Yan Sasse ↓, Diarra J. ↑,
73', Costinha ↓, Gilberto ↑,
74', Jebali C. 🟨,
79', Jelassi H. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Diarra J. ⚽, Jebali C. (A),
86', Kinito ↓, Tiago Azulao ↑,
86', Benny ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
86', Haj Ali M. ↓, Guenichi K. ↑,
86', Konate A. ↓, Bouzaiene E. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atlético Petróleos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Espérance ST is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Espérance ST won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espérance ST
CAF Champions League
08.02.26	Stade Malien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Simba - Espérance ST	2:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
27.01.26	Espérance ST - JS Kairouan	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.01.26	Espérance ST - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
19.01.26	Monastir - Espérance ST	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWWL
- Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
Angolan Girabola
10.02.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Académica Petróleos	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
07.02.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Simba	1:1 ✺
Angolan Girabola
04.02.26	Primeiro de Maio - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
31.01.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
29.11.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Espérance ST	1:1
19.12.23	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Espérance ST	0:0
09.12.23	Espérance ST - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:0

Espérance ST - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide