Match Info

CAF Champions League - Round 4

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Simba		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.63
	2.68	2.82	2.78
	2.63	2.81	2.71
	2.77	2.83	2.82	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.7
	2.7	2.96	2.78	Watch
	2.75	2.83	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.22)	2.82 ↓ (3.31)	2.75 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
34.3%

Draw
32.5%

Espérance ST
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

28%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.

Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espérance ST might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Simba - Espérance ST Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Simba will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simba: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Simba will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Tanja M. (G) 12. Kapombe S. (C) 23. De Reuck R. 31. Nangu W. 32. Kibabage N. 8. Kante A. 21. Kagoma Y. 29. Gueye L. 24. Chama C. 20. Oura A. A. 38. Kibu D.	32. Ben Said B. (C) 10. Yan Sasse 34. Diarra J. 21. Konate A. 23. Keita I. 29. Diakite A. 6. Jelassi H. 20. Ben Hamida M. 14. Ogbelu O. 12. Laifi N. 8. Tka H.
Substitutes
28. Abel H. (G) 30. Camara N. 15. Duchu 10. Loemba I. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 40. Mwalimu S. 25. Toure O.	7. Boualia K. 22. Danho F. 37. Drager M. 27. Guenichi K. 19. Jabri A. 31. Jebali C. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 40. Msakni Y. 24. Rafia H.
Coaches
Barker S.	Kanzari M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Kapombe S. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Kagoma Y. ⚽, Chama C. (A),
45+4', Gueye L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Diarra J. ↓, Boualia K. ↑,
49', Ogbelu O. ↓, Jebali C. ↑,
58', Kagoma Y. ↓, Camara N. ↑,
62', Nangu W. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Diakite A. ⚽,
68', Kibu D. 🟨,
69', Diakite A. ↓, Danho F. ↑,
69', Tka H. ↓, Msakni Y. ↑,
74', Kante A. 🟨,
74', Gueye L. ↓, Mpanzu E. ↑,
74', Kibu D. ↓, Mwalimu S. ↑,
74', Kante A. ↓, Abraham M. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Boualia K. ⚽, Msakni Y. (A),
84', Yan Sasse ↓, Drager M. ↑,
90+4', Jelassi H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent form of Simba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Espérance ST is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Espérance ST may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Espérance ST has had a series of home games.

Espérance ST is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
29.01.26	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.01.26	Espérance ST - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
18.01.26	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Azam - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
07.12.25	Simba - Azam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLTLL
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
27.01.26	Espérance ST - JS Kairouan	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.01.26	Espérance ST - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
19.01.26	Monastir - Espérance ST	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Espérance ST - Gabès	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Espérance ST - Ben Guerdane	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
24.01.26	Espérance ST - Simba	1:0

Simba - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide