Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Espérance ST		Stade Tunisien

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.75	7.9
	1.37	3.8	10.6	Watch
	1.4	3.7	8.5
	1.36	3.64	10.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.48)	3.72 ↓ (3.74)	9.48 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espérance ST
65.9%

Draw
24.4%

Stade Tunisien
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.6%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

25%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Stade Tunisien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Tunisien than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Memmiche A. (G) 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 29. Diakite A. 34. Diarra J. 13. Drager M. 4. Haj Ali M. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 8. Tka H. 15. Tougai M. 10. Yan Sasse	22. Farhati N. (G) 27. Khalfa H. 4. Ndaw A. 80. N'Diaye A. 7. Ouerghemmi W. 8. Saafi Y. 34. Sahraoui M. (C) 3. Saihi A. 25. Sghaier S. 14. Tapsoba S. 21. Toure Y.
Substitutes
2. Ben Ali M. 7. Boualia K. 22. Danho F. 26. Debchi M. (G) 17. Dhaou H. 27. Guenichi K. 19. Jabri A. 12. Laifi N. 24. Rafia H.	. Camara B. 30. Diop P. 16. Dkhili A. (G) 19. Haboubi A. 17. Hanchi A. 11. Jaouadi A. . Jelassi M. 2. Riahi M. 20. Smaali M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Tka H. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Stade Tunisien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Espérance ST is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 2.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Esperance Tunis	5	4	0	1	10:7	3	12
9	Stade Tunisien	4	2	1	1	7:5	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
17.02.26	Soliman - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Espérance ST - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Stade Malien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Simba - Espérance ST	2:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
27.01.26	Espérance ST - JS Kairouan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTW
- Stade Tunisien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.02.26	Stade Tunisien - Olympique Béja	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Métlaoui - Stade Tunisien	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Stade Tunisien - Soliman	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	JS Kairouan - Stade Tunisien	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Stade Tunisien - Monastir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.09.25	Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST	1:0
Tunisian Super Cup
03.08.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0
Tunisian Cup
01.06.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0
Tunisian Super Cup
16.02.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	2:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.02.25	Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST	0:1
29.09.24	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	2:2
05.05.24	Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST	2:0

Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide