Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 30

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Espanyol B		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	5.15
	1.55	3.9	5.9
	1.52	4.05	5.44	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.59	4.04	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)	4.01 ↑ (3.98)	5.33 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol B
59.8%

Draw
22.9%

Castellon B
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol B than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Espanyol B - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Castell L. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Segura C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', Timera A. 🟥,
50', 1 - 2, Fadel I. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Almansa A. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Segura C. ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Segura C. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).

In recent matches, Espanyol B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Castellon B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Espanyol B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Espanyol B is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Espanyol B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon B	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espanyol B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.03.26	Barbastro - Espanyol B	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Espanyol B - Poblense	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Alcoyano - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Espanyol B - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Porreres - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTLW
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.04.26	Torrent - Castellon B	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Castellon B - Porreres	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Castellon B - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Andratx - Castellon B	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Castellon B - Poblense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.11.25	Castellon B - Espanyol B	0:1

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