Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Espanyol B		Cerdanyola del Vallès

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.74	3.44	4.82
	1.75	3.44	4.82
	1.71	3.59	4.63
	1.7	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.06)	3.5 ↑ (3.05)	4.57 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol B
53.5%

Draw
26.3%

Cerdanyola del Vallès
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

31%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espanyol B's performance.

Cerdanyola del Vallès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol B than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espanyol B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerdanyola del Vallès than the current prediction. (+4%)

Espanyol B - Cerdanyola del Vallès Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Kata N. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
80', Recio I. 🟨,
86', Moises M. 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espanyol B won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cerdanyola del Vallès could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Espanyol B is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Espanyol B won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Espanyol B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espanyol B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.04.24	Penya Independent - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Espanyol B - Andratx	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Sant Andreu - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Espanyol B - Torrent	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Formentera - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWT
- Cerdanyola del Vallès FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.04.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Lleida	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Badalona Futur - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Manresa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Atlético Saguntino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.12.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Espanyol B	2:3
10.04.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Espanyol B	3:2
21.11.21	Espanyol B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:1
Club Friendly
22.08.21	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Espanyol B	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Espanyol B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0
08.10.17	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Espanyol B	0:1

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