Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3


	Espanyol B		Lleida

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	2.9	3	2.37
	3.11	3.04	2.37
	3.03	3.03	2.34	Watch
	3.06	3.02	2.36
	2.9	3	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	3 ↑ (2.98)	2.36 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol B
30.8%

Draw
30.5%

Lleida
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

30.7%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

30%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Espanyol B - Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Almansa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espanyol B won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lleida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Espanyol B won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26:26 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Espanyol B won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espanyol B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.12.24	Torrent - Espanyol B	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Espanyol B - Andratx	1:0 ✺
28.11.24	Espanyol B - Valencia B	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Atlético Baleares - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLL
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.12.24	Lleida - Torrent	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Valencia B - Lleida	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Lleida - Badalona Futur	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Terrassa - Lleida	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.03.24	Espanyol B - Lleida	3:1
29.10.23	Lleida - Espanyol B	1:0
14.05.23	Espanyol B - Lleida	0:2
15.01.23	Lleida - Espanyol B	1:1
26.03.22	Espanyol B - Lleida	2:1
06.11.21	Lleida - Espanyol B	2:1
13.02.21	Lleida - Espanyol B	0:3

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