The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Español de San Vicente 40.9%
Draw 30%
Roda 29%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
30.4%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
29.8%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Español de San Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Español de San Vicente than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+2%)
Español de San Vicente - Roda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Español San Vicente won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Español San Vicente has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:9 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Español San Vicente against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.4:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Roda
7
2
3
2
9:8
1
9
17
Espanol de San Vicente
7
1
3
3
7:13
-6
6
Last Results with these Odds
Roda - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 30.38%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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