Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Español de San Vicente		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.6	2.97	2.75
	2.6	2.76	2.75
	2.6	2.9	2.7
	2.68	2.8	2.82
	2.49	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.02)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.7 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Español de San Vicente
35.4%

Draw
31%

Xerez Deportivo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Español de San Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Español de San Vicente's form might have worsened.

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xerez Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Español de San Vicente than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Español de San Vicente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xerez Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Español de San Vicente - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, Ndour C. T. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Lara A. (Pen),
1, Parejo Gonzalez R. (Pen),
2, Axo (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Español de San Vicente
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Xerez Deportivo - Español de San Vicente	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.06.24	Español de San Vicente - Atzeneta	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Atzeneta - Español de San Vicente	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Español de San Vicente - Utiel	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Utiel - Español de San Vicente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTWT
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Xerez Deportivo - Español de San Vicente	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.06.24	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta B	3:2 ET ✺
01.06.24	Ceuta B - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Xerez Deportivo - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Pozoblanco - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Xerez Deportivo - Español de San Vicente	0:1

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